Mets Preview

by user Bball3345

Pedro Martinez
Player=Pedro Martinez Type=Pitching Years=2004,2005

Tom Glavine
Player=Tom Glavine Type=Pitching Years=2004,2005

Steve Trachsel
Player=Steve Trachsel Type=Pitching Years=2004,2005

Victor Zambrano
Player=Victor Zambrano Type=Pitching Years=2004,2005

Aaron Heilman
Player=Aaron Heilman Type=Pitching Years=2004,2005

Pedro is the best starter in the NL and has started 29 or more games for the last four years. Glavine hits 40 years old this year but hasn't slowed down too much. The last two years he has had ERAs of 3.54 and 3.60. I would expect atleast some dropoff but his strikeout rate, walk rate, and homerun rate remained stable or improved last year. Steve Trachsel is 35 and not much better than a mid-4.00 ERA pitcher. Zambrano cut his high walk rate last year but his K's dropped too. His homerun rate is low so he is a serious breakout candidate if he gets his K rate back up while maintaining his other skills. Heilman is very intriguing. Last year, he had an ERA of 3.17 and earned every bit of it. The thing is, he was miles ahead of what he has done in the past few years in the majors and minors. All of his rates massively improved last year. He cut a couple hits, a couple walks, and a homerun off his rates, while adding a couple strikeouts. In his 108 innings last year, he pitched as well as some of the top pitchers in the league. He is 27 so it seems late to be breaking out this big but the Mets have to like his potential from the #5 spot in the rotation. Their bullpen has a stud closer in Billy Wagner, surrounded by solid reliever in Juan Padilla, Heath Bell(history says he is better than his ERA last year), Chad Bradford, Duaner Sanchez, and Jorge Julio. I am a believer in Julio cutting his HR rate and being a bigtime contributer out of a setup role.

SS Jose Reyes
Player=Jose Reyes Type=Batting Years=2004,2005

CF Carlos Beltran
Player=Carlos Beltran Type=Batting Years=2004,2005

3B David Wright
Player=David Wright Type=Batting Years=2004,2005

1B Carlos Delgado
Player=Carlos Delgado Type=Batting Years=2004,2005

LF Cliff Floyd
Player=Cliff Floyd Type=Batting Years=2004,2005

RF Xavier Nady
Player=Xavier Nady Type=Batting Years=2004,2005

C Paul LoDuca
Player=Paul LoDuca Type=Batting Years=2004,2005

2B Kaz Matsui
Player=Kaz Matsui Type=Batting Years=2004,2005

Reyes, one of the fastest guys in the league, will add a ton of SBs, as always. Unfortunately, he has an OBP that struggled to hit the .300 mark last year. That's not a good thing for a leadoff hitter. With all of his speed, you would think his defense would be great, but it isn't any better than average. After being hampered with leg injuries last year, Beltran will be right back where he was in KC. His SBs will depend on how much the Mets are going to run this year but he will be a 20/20 man again with positive defense. David Wright will be one of the top ten players in the majors for many years to come. His offensive reached superstar status last year and he is still years away from his peak. The sky is the limit for this 23 year old. Scouts raved about his defense when he was in the minors but his stats so far in the majors have not reflected that. Although, he did make that amazing barehanded catch last year. That play should have won him a gold glove by itself. Delgado remains one of the top hitters in the league. Thanks to 41 doubles and 33 HRs, his slugging was .582. He is the type of guy who could slug .600 this year, which he did in 2000. Health has been somewhat of a problem for him and should be an increasing factor as he rises into his mid-30's. Down is the only direction Delgado can go from here but he is so high that it will take years before he is no longer a great hitter. The Mets should try and get Delgado his first SB since 2002; he has only attempted once since then. Floyd has always been able to hit but he has not stayed healthy for a few years. Last year, health and production combined and the result was great. I don't think there is a good chance he will stay healthy again. If he does, then he will get 30 HRs again but I see him more around 20. Here is where the lineup turns bad. Nady is an annual dissapointment and I don't see much upside for him anymore. The more at bats Victor Diaz gets the better. Diaz may not be any better than Nady but he atleast has promise. I don't think many people would agree with this, but I think Ramon Castro is a better player than LoDuca. He can hit just as well and play better defense. The #8 spot will see no production as long as Matsui hits there. He has no power, his OBP was .300 last year, and he is now thirty years old. The Mets could promote any of there minor leaguers and find better value than Matsui. Bench players Endy Chavez, Tike Redman, and Chris Woodward have no place on a major league team except as batboys. Overall, the Mets have a great #2-#5 but #6 back around to #1 will produce little to nothing with their current players. The pitchers spot may not even be the biggest hole in there.

Projection: 90-72 1st in the NL East...The NL East lacks a team that stands out so I went with pitching. The Mets have a strong bullpen, the best ace, and the best closer.

Date
Fri 03/10/06, 11:18 am EST