Talk:ESPN's "Experts'" Final Four Predictions/@comment-93324-20060327143654

My Final Four was Texas, UConn, Villanova, and UCLA; going into last weekend, I could have gotten all four... not really my point, but I&quot;m just sayin&quot;.

Anyway, Roblefko, comparing stock analysts and doctors to Dick Vitale and Co. is a bit of a stretch... okay, more than just "a bit". Don&quot;t kid yourself: medicine and the stock market are both far more predictable than the NCAA Tournament! The nature of the tournament is, to use financial-market lingo, "volatility". Teams play around 30 games in the regular season, which comes out to about 1200 minutes of action. Over the course of that large a sample size, the cream rises, if you will: the best teams win the most games, the worst teams lose the most, etc. Forgive me if this is elementary, but the point is that those 1200-minutes samples, come tournament time, are reduced to 40 minutes at the minimum, 240 at the very maximum. Over the course of 40 minutes, any team in the field of 64 could, within the realm of probability, beat any other team... hell, Albany led UConn for a while! The bottom line is that the tourney is a crapshoot. We knew that going in, of course, and that&quot;s what we love about it, but don&quot;t hold it against the so-called experts for getting their picks wrong. In an alternate universe, they could have easily panned out... as could mine, instead of lying in smoldering ruins on the floor.